AUGUR player impact rankings
AUGUR estimates NBA player impact in points per 100 possessions, combining offense and defense. Gravity measures the change in teammates’ shot quality associated with a player being on the floor.
| Player | Team | AUGUR | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić | Denver Nuggets | 10.39 | 7.72 | 2.66 |
| Victor Wembanyama | San Antonio Spurs | 9.00 | 2.34 | 6.66 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Milwaukee Bucks | 8.15 | 6.30 | 1.85 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder | 7.45 | 5.84 | 1.61 |
| Luka Dončić | Los Angeles Lakers | 6.75 | 5.53 | 1.22 |
| Anthony Davis | Dallas Mavericks | 6.41 | 2.27 | 4.14 |
| Kawhi Leonard | LA Clippers | 6.38 | 4.08 | 2.30 |
| Franz Wagner | Orlando Magic | 5.85 | 2.98 | 2.87 |
| Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5.67 | 1.56 | 4.11 |
| Moussa Diabaté | Charlotte Hornets | 5.58 | 2.86 | 2.72 |
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AUGUR player impact · latest The unit is points per 100 possessions. A score of 0 is league average.
Box scores miss screens, spacing and defense. AUGUR starts from what the scoreboard says a lineup should have produced, strips the luck out, and splits the credit among the five on the floor, combining offense and defense in one rating. Higher is better; players under 2,000 possessions are excluded, their estimates are still settling.
Gravity Gravity and AUGUR capture different skills: their correlation in this sample is only 0.07.
A different skill from impact: how much a defense bends toward a player, measured as the lift in his teammates' shot quality when he is on the floor. The league tracks this with cameras; we read it off play-by-play. Needs 4,000 possessions to settle.
| Player | AUGUR | Off | Def | Gravity | Poss |
|---|
| Player | Gravity | Poss |
|---|
| Player | Matchup | PTS | AST | REB | DREB | OREB | FGM | FGA | 3PM | 3PA | 2PM | 2PA | FTM | FTA | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | MIN |
|---|
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Create your free accountSign inTop 15 · projected range Bar spans the 80% interval (P10–P90). Hover for the median and point estimate.
Risk vs. reward Projection (x) vs. uncertainty = P90−P10 (y). The dashed curve is the empirical league-median spread at each projection level (measured from every stored prediction; it's concave, not linear). Dot colour = distance from it: green = tighter than the median player at the same projection (a value pick), red = more volatile. Top players labelled; hover for detail.
ELO over time · Higher lines mean a stronger team rating. Choose a period above, then select up to 10 teams in the ranking. Select a line to keep that team in focus. Select its end label to change the line color.
| Team | Rec | Net | ORtg | DRtg | Pace | eFG% | 3PM | TOV | Opp eFG% | Opp 3PM | Forced TO |
|---|
| Player | GP | PPG | Proj | Volatility | MAE | Bias |
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