NBA player projections
Points, rebounds, assists and minutes for the next published slate. Forecasts describe performance if the player takes part; availability is a separate estimate.
Published slate:
New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 25.2 | 3.5 | 6.2 | 34.7 |
| OG Anunoby | 15.6 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 29.7 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 15.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 28.8 |
Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 24.6 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 34.2 |
| Joel Embiid | 22.2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 32.9 |
| Tyrese Maxey | 19.8 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 35.9 |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 25.1 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 35.3 |
| Chet Holmgren | 11.7 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 27.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 11.4 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 25.1 |
San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 21.4 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 31.4 |
| Stephon Castle | 17.5 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 31.6 |
| Tobias Harris | 14.2 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 29.3 |
Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 23.6 | 5.0 | 6.9 | 36.0 |
| John Collins | 11.6 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 22.8 |
| Jalen Duren | 11.1 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 27.0 |
Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 22.2 | 9.6 | 5.4 | 34.8 |
| Paul George | 14.4 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 31.3 |
| Payton Pritchard | 11.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 26.2 |
This public preview shows up to three players per team. Sign in for the full slate. How to read the forecasts.
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AUGUR player impact · latest The unit is points per 100 possessions. A score of 0 is league average.
Box scores miss screens, spacing and defense. AUGUR starts from what the scoreboard says a lineup should have produced, strips the luck out, and splits the credit among the five on the floor, combining offense and defense in one rating. Higher is better; players under 2,000 possessions are excluded, their estimates are still settling.
Gravity Gravity and AUGUR capture different skills: their correlation in this sample is only 0.07.
A different skill from impact: how much a defense bends toward a player, measured as the lift in his teammates' shot quality when he is on the floor. The league tracks this with cameras; we read it off play-by-play. Needs 4,000 possessions to settle.
| Player | AUGUR | Off | Def | Gravity | Poss |
|---|
| Player | Gravity | Poss |
|---|
| Player | Matchup | PTS | AST | REB | DREB | OREB | FGM | FGA | 3PM | 3PA | 2PM | 2PA | FTM | FTA | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | MIN |
|---|
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Create your free accountSign inTop 15 · projected range Bar spans the 80% interval (P10–P90). Hover for the median and point estimate.
Risk vs. reward Projection (x) vs. uncertainty = P90−P10 (y). The dashed curve is the empirical league-median spread at each projection level (measured from every stored prediction; it's concave, not linear). Dot colour = distance from it: green = tighter than the median player at the same projection (a value pick), red = more volatile. Top players labelled; hover for detail.
ELO over time · Higher lines mean a stronger team rating. Choose a period above, then select up to 10 teams in the ranking. Select a line to keep that team in focus. Select its end label to change the line color.
| Team | Rec | Net | ORtg | DRtg | Pace | eFG% | 3PM | TOV | Opp eFG% | Opp 3PM | Forced TO |
|---|
| Player | GP | PPG | Proj | Volatility | MAE | Bias |
|---|
Articles & explanations
Explore the game through data. Player stories, clear explanations of our metrics, and a closer look at our projections.